Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.028554 0.030681 0.032818 0.035124 0.037538 0.039988 0.042660
2026-01-04 0.024476 0.027830 0.031326 0.035229 0.039453 0.043874 0.048837
2026-01-11 0.021771 0.025819 0.030153 0.035113 0.040603 0.046469 0.053185
2026-01-18 0.020195 0.024797 0.029835 0.035712 0.042336 0.049528 0.057881
2026-01-25 0.018556 0.023536 0.029098 0.035705 0.043270 0.051599 0.061397
2026-02-01 0.017166 0.022441 0.028445 0.035691 0.044108 0.053491 0.064652
2026-02-08 0.015953 0.021464 0.027846 0.035666 0.044868 0.055242 0.067705
2026-02-15 0.014841 0.020531 0.027234 0.035564 0.045487 0.056789 0.070492
2026-02-22 0.013875 0.019716 0.026710 0.035517 0.046129 0.058331 0.073249
2026-03-01 0.012845 0.018763 0.025965 0.035157 0.046357 0.059358 0.075382
2026-03-08 0.011772 0.017695 0.025027 0.034512 0.046202 0.059900 0.076917
2026-03-15 0.010738 0.016622 0.024034 0.033753 0.045868 0.060194 0.078131
2026-03-22 0.010358 0.016428 0.024182 0.034463 0.047393 0.062793 0.082195
2026-03-29 0.009731 0.015876 0.023856 0.034570 0.048182 0.064529 0.085264
2026-04-05 0.009067 0.015235 0.023379 0.034454 0.048671 0.065883 0.087864
2026-04-12 0.008729 0.015028 0.023459 0.035046 0.050041 0.068313 0.091774
2026-04-19 0.008195 0.014509 0.023098 0.035039 0.050635 0.069779 0.094505
2026-04-26 0.007697 0.014016 0.022746 0.035025 0.051206 0.071205 0.097185
2026-05-03 0.007231 0.013544 0.022402 0.035000 0.051748 0.072588 0.099806
2026-05-10 0.006773 0.013057 0.022014 0.034900 0.052177 0.073818 0.102236
2026-05-17 0.006363 0.012621 0.021679 0.034853 0.052665 0.075116 0.104746
2026-05-24 0.005888 0.012054 0.021134 0.034498 0.052727 0.075861 0.106559
2026-05-31 0.005365 0.011380 0.020405 0.033861 0.052395 0.076085 0.107703